Prop bet #1: Alyssa Thomas to record a double-double
Once again, Alyssa Thomas is turning in a season worthy of a top-five finish in WNBA MVP voting. She’s the most unique player in the league with her violence as a rebounder and her skill as a passer.
The five-time All-Star may not be the most potent scorer in the league, but she’s the only player in the WNBA averaging over eight rebounds per game (9.1) and over four assists per game (7.8).
Her ability to put up double-digit rebounds or assists on any given night makes her a double-double threat at all times, especially against lesser teams like the Atlanta Dream.
Atlanta is 10th in the WNBA in net rating (-7.2) and ranks in the back half of the league in both rebounds allowed (34.8) and assists allowed per game (21.1).
And there’s no reason to fear Thomas will be rusty after winning gold at the Olympics, in her first game back she finished with 12 points, 14 assists, and eight rebounds.
Thomas has already recorded nine double-doubles this season and has the perfect opportunity to do it for the 10th time against the lowly Dream.
Prop bet #2: Caitlin Clark Over 9.5 assists
It would appear that Caitlin Clark took the Olympic snub personally. She’s consistently played like the unstoppable force everyone thought she would be since Team USA announced she wasn’t part of the roster heading to France.
In her final game before the Olympic break, she set the WNBA’s single-game assist record with 19, and in her first game back she dropped 29 points and added 10 dimes.
She’s been so good that she’s now tied for the second-shortest WNBA MVP odds just behind Wilson, and neck and neck with Sabrina Ionescu.
While the Seattle Storm pose a far tougher challenge than her last two opponents, particularly due to their perimeter defense, Clark should still be able to rack up the assists.
Clark leads the league in assists per game with 8.3, but that number would be even higher if she hadn’t had an up-and-down start to her WNBA career. Over her last 10 games, she’s averaging 11.7 per game and finished with Over 9.5 in eight of those games.
She’s at another level right now with her court vision popping in every game, and the Storm won’t be able to stop her.
Prop bet #3: A’ja Wilson Over 26.5 points
After leading Team USA to its eighth straight gold medal at the Olympics and the second of her career, A’ja Wilson didn’t miss a beat in her return from the break.
While the Las Vegas Aces lost to the New York Liberty, Wilson shot 53.3{37471d21a8c4ca072ce05e5c1dfbdaec01ff2ef8391827b0199be0aecce32fae} from the floor and looked like her usually dominant self.
Clearly, there’s no extra fatigue for her after putting in work in France, and she’s got a far easier opponent in her second game back.
The Los Angeles Sparks are 10th in the WNBA in defensive rating (108.8) and give up the third-most points per game (86.2). They’re particularly bad inside the arc, too, where Wilson does her most damage.
Los Angeles allows the third-highest 2-point percentage in the league (50.4{37471d21a8c4ca072ce05e5c1dfbdaec01ff2ef8391827b0199be0aecce32fae}) and the second-most 2-pointers per game (23.3).
Given Wilson is averaging Over 26.5 PPG this season (27.1), she should cruise by this total against one of the worst defenses in the WNBA.
Wilson has already gone Over 26.5 points in 17 of her 25 games this season (68{37471d21a8c4ca072ce05e5c1dfbdaec01ff2ef8391827b0199be0aecce32fae}), and she’s done it in each of her last two games against the Sparks – she’s averaged 33 PPG in those two games.
