The publication of the durable goods orders reports from the United States earlier this afternoon revealed a mixed sentiment regarding the manufacturing sector of the world’s largest economy. The nominal figure came in with a reading slightly below forecasts with a 0.8{04524d497bea0ade6defd1388b5c9b25998d95475e2938b4fa9d615e63ad1540} contraction. The core reading, however, beat forecasts with…
Category: Finance
Australian Core CPI Sluggish in October
Consumer inflation, as reported by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) this morning, seems to have held steady at 0.6{04524d497bea0ade6defd1388b5c9b25998d95475e2938b4fa9d615e63ad1540} in October. But the Trimmed Mean CPI, which is similar to the Core CPI reading of other countries since it excludes the most volatile items, revealed sluggishness with only 0.3{04524d497bea0ade6defd1388b5c9b25998d95475e2938b4fa9d615e63ad1540}…
British Consumers Increasingly Pessimistic
A survey conducted of roughly 2,000 British citizens asking them to rate their views on the state of the economy found that pessimism is growing in the UK. The report, issued by GfK NOP, reported a decline by two base points in their survey measure. The findings were only mildly below…
Advance US GDP Supports Growth Prospects
Thursday release of Advance GDP in the United States underscored a plausible increase in the nation’s economic growth. As an early indicator of economic expansion in the world’s largest economy, this indicator is highly important to gauging the direction of the market. Expectations for today’s GDP release were for a…
Prelim CPI in Germany Sees Zero Growth
The preliminary reading on the consumer price index (CPI) in Germany this morning revealed utter stagnation. The reading was expected to show a 0.1{04524d497bea0ade6defd1388b5c9b25998d95475e2938b4fa9d615e63ad1540} increase in consumer inflation, a dismal reading on its face, but the actual results being lower than this have so far pulled back on the EUR…
Swiss KOF Barometer in Decline
This morning’s publication of Switzerland’s KOF Economic Barometer revealed an economic outlook that has dipped somewhat since last month’s reading. A combination of economic indicators is now portraying economic conditions slightly more pessimistically than before. The measure only fell by approximately 0.2 points from 1.00 to 0.80, a measure that still falls within…
Japanese Unemployment Falls 0.2{04524d497bea0ade6defd1388b5c9b25998d95475e2938b4fa9d615e63ad1540} in October
A surprise indicator from the Japanese economy this morning revealed an employment sector growing modestly through the autumn months. Expectations were for a worsening of the unemployment situation in Japan due to the decline in manufacturing and industrial production lately. The actual results produced a surprise uptick in optimism about…
Japanese Home Construction Expecting Sharp Plummet
This morning’s early publication of Japanese housing starts portrayed a capital economy in deep contraction heading into the end of 2011. Housing starts are an indicator of the number of private homes starting construction, making it an early gauge of domestic capital investment and early consumer spending and optimism. The indicator…
German Retail Sales Underperforming
The euro zone continues to struggle with economic data heading into the fourth quarter of 2011. This morning’s publication of Germany’s retail sales revealed even more sluggish growth in the region’s largest economy. The report was expected to show a healthy month-on-month growth of 1.1{04524d497bea0ade6defd1388b5c9b25998d95475e2938b4fa9d615e63ad1540}, a solid uptick from…
FOREX Technical Analysis 15. Jan. 2013
FX Forex Market Technical Analysis 15. Jan. 2013: Technical Analysis for the following Currencies: EUR/USD, USD /CAD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF EUR/JPY – Gold & Oil : EUR/USD INTRADAY: BULLISH BIAS ABOVE 1.3325 Pivot: 1.3325. Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions at 1.3335 with targets at 1.3405 & 1.3425. Alternative …
Canadian GDP Data Reveals Stable Growth
The early afternoon release of Canada’s GDP data revealed an economy in modest stability. The release of a nation’s gross domestic product report is a strong indicator of that nation’s economic health and well-being. Today’s release revealed to investors that Canada’s economy is stronger than previously assumed. The forecasts…
FOREX Technical Analysis 21. Jan. 2013
FX Forex Market Technical Analysis 21. Jan. 2013: Technical Analysis for the following Currencies: EUR/USD, USD /CAD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF EUR/JPY – Gold & Oil : EUR/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE. Pivot: 1.3360. Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1.336 with targets @ 1.327 & 1.3245. Alternative scenario: …
FOREX Technical Analysis 18. Jan. 2013
FX Forex Market Technical Analysis 18. Jan. 2013: Technical Analysis for the following Currencies: EUR/USD, USD /CAD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF EUR/JPY – Gold & Oil : EUR/USD INTRADAY: THE UPSIDE PREVAILS. Pivot: 1.3330. Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.334 with 1.34 & 1.3435 in sight. Alternative …
FOREX Technical Analysis 16. Jan. 2013
FX Forex Market Technical Analysis 16. Jan. 2013: Technical Analysis for the following Currencies: EUR/USD, USD /CAD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF EUR/JPY – Gold & Oil : EUR/USD INTRADAY: THE DOWNSIDE PREVAILS. Pivot: 1.3335. Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 1.3325 with 1.3245 & 1.3205 as next targets. …
FOREX Technical Analysis 22. Jan. 2013
FX Forex Market Technical Analysis 22. Jan. 2013: Technical Analysis for the following Currencies: EUR/USD, USD /CAD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF EUR/JPY – Gold & Oil : EUR/USD INTRADAY: UNDER PRESSURE. Pivot: 1.337 Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.337 with targets @ 1.327 & 1.3245 in extension. …
Abenomics – What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
By Edward Hugh In an article entitled “Why Japan’s GDP Plunge Isn’t As Bad As It Seems”, Bloomberg writer Bruce Einhorn put it like this: The last time Japan raised the consumption tax, in 1997, the economy went into a tailspin. The impact doesn’t seem to be as bad this time, …
The Italian Runaway Train
By Edward Hugh There has been lot’s of debate in the press and in academic circles over the last week or so about whether Italy’s latest contraction constitutes a triple dip recession or simply a continuation of what’s been going on over many many years. This is an interesting theoretical …
Income inequality, corporate inversions and financial engineering
I have a number of threads to write about today but I am going to make this a mono-themed post and save the other themes for future days. One thing I did want to flag is Willem Buiter’s recent piece called “The Simple Analytics of Helicopter Money: Why It …