Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs. Rays Odds
Looking for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Rays on Tuesday, July 9th, 2024 at Tropicana Field, in Tampa Bay, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Rays free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
(55-37) New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays (44-46)
Date: Tuesday, July 9th
Time: 6:50 ET
Venue: Tropicana Field St. Petersburg, FL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Carlos Rodón vs. Ryan Pepiot
MLB Moneyline Odds: Yankees -127 | Rays +107 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Yankees -1.5 | Rays +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
Yankees vs. Rays Gameday
At 6:50 PM ET, the Yankees and Rays will square off in an AL East matchup at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. The Yankees are favored in this one, with a money line of -127 compared to the Rays’ +107.
Carlos Rodón will take the mound for the Yankees, while Ryan Pepiot will get the start for the Rays. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -115 compared to the under at -105.
New York Yankees
The Yankees are 55-37 overall this season, putting them three games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is 2nd in the AL East. They will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Rays, and they are 30-18 on the road this season.
So far, the Yankees are 13-16 in AL East play. New York has an overall series record of 16-9-3 this year, but they have dropped two straight series. Their most recent series loss came vs. the Red Sox. The Yankees dropped two of three in that series and are just 3-7 in their last 10 games overall.
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Luis Gil will be on the mound for the Yankees as they close out their series vs. the Red Sox. New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 3-0 loss, Luis Gil was excellent on the mound, allowing just one run while pitching into the 7th inning. The Yankees also got a good outing from their offense, going 4 for 8 with runners in scoring position.
Despite all of this, the Yankees still lost the game. Heading into the game, they were the slight favorite at -129 on the money line. New York’s offense also scored a total of just three runs in their previous series vs. the Red Sox.
Yankees Gambling
Today’s over/under line for the Yankees’ game against the Rays is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for New York’s games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 48-41. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Yankees have gone 7-8-1, and 65.2{37471d21a8c4ca072ce05e5c1dfbdaec01ff2ef8391827b0199be0aecce32fae} of their games have had higher lines than 8 runs.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. That’s why they are 49-43 against the run line this season. They are 28-20 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 1.4 runs per game. They are 14-4 against the run line as an underdog.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 2nd best in the MLB. Their offense has been especially potent on the road, where they are averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Yankees have hit 131 home runs this season, which ranks 2nd in the league. They have been patient at the plate, leading the league in walks. Aaron Judge has been the team’s top hitter this season, with a .308 batting average, .425 on-base percentage, 32 home runs, and 83 RBIs. Juan Soto has also been a key contributor, hitting .294 with 21 home runs and 63 RBIs. Ben Rice has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .310 over his last 8 games, with 4 home runs and 11 RBIs. Giancarlo Stanton is currently on a 10-game hitting streak.
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 44-46 overall and trail the Orioles by 13 games in the AL East. Currently, they are in 4th place in the division and have gone just 10-17 in AL East matchups. The Rays have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak comes after losing the final game of their series vs. the Rangers.
At home, the Rays are 23-25 this season compared to 21-21 on the road. So far, they have struggled as the underdog at home, going 6-9 this year. As the underdog overall, the Rays are 18-22 and 26-24 as the favorite. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 15-11-2, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 13-2 loss. Tampa Bay was the +113 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rays, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored three times in the bottom of the first.
Zack Littell had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on nine hits and issuing three walks. The Rays also used three other pitchers, and none of them had much success. José Caballero hit a homer for the Rays but went just 1/3.
Rays Gambling
When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8.7 runs per game. Overall, the Rays’ over/under record is 44-42, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 10-12. This season, 41.1{37471d21a8c4ca072ce05e5c1dfbdaec01ff2ef8391827b0199be0aecce32fae} of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, while 34.4{37471d21a8c4ca072ce05e5c1dfbdaec01ff2ef8391827b0199be0aecce32fae} have had lines set at under 8 runs.
When it comes to the run line, the Rays have been a better bet on the road this season, going 25-17 compared to 16-32 at home. They have a run line record of 23-17 as an underdog, compared to 18-32 as a favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.5, while it drops to -3.9 in losses.
Rays Stats
The Tampa Bay Rays have struggled to generate offense this season, as they rank 25th in runs per game at 4. Their home runs total of 82 is 20th in the league, and their .235 team batting average is 16th. Yandy Díaz has been a key contributor, hitting .270 with 8 home runs and 43 RBI. Isaac Paredes leads the team with 14 home runs and 47 RBI, while Randy Arozarena has added 11 home runs and 29 RBI. Arozarena has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .294 over his last 9 games. Brandon Lowe has also been productive, hitting .269 with 3 home runs and 6 runs scored over his last 8 games.
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Yankees Rays Pitching
New York is sending left-hander Carlos Rodón to the mound today vs. the Rays. He comes into the game with a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 4.46. Rodón has made 18 starts this year and has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 5.26. At home, his ERA is 4.87. Rodón has lost each of his last four starts and has given up at least three earned runs in each outing. His most recent start came vs. the Reds, where he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Royals on July 3rd, he gave up two earned runs in four innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Pepiot has made 15 starts and has a record of 4-5. His ERA for the season is 4.40, along with a WHIP of 1.12. Opposing batters are hitting .204 off Pepiot this season. The right-hander has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 9.87 strikeouts per nine innings.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees head into the game having gone 3-7 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Yankees they are 3-7 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Rays are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Rays have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Yankees are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Rays have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted score for this Yankees vs. Rays matchup is 8-4 in favor of the Yankees. With the Yankees predicted to win and a payout of -127 on the money line, that is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Rodón is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among today’s starters. As for Ryan Pepiot, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters.
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